1. Identificação | |
Tipo de Referência | Artigo em Evento (Conference Proceedings) |
Site | mtc-m21c.sid.inpe.br |
Código do Detentor | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S |
Identificador | 8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3QSBPQ5 |
Repositório | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2018/04.09.13.08 |
Última Atualização | 2020:11.26.16.45.46 (UTC) simone |
Repositório de Metadados | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21c/2018/04.09.13.08.47 |
Última Atualização dos Metadados | 2020:12.07.21.11.24 (UTC) administrator |
Chave Secundária | INPE--PRE/ |
Chave de Citação | RammigLPQBKPOMVN:2018:EsLiAm |
Título | Estimating the likelihood of an Amazon forest dieback and potential socio-economic impacts |
Ano | 2018 |
Data de Acesso | 13 maio 2024 |
Tipo Secundário | PRE CI |
Número de Arquivos | 1 |
Tamanho | 37 KiB |
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2. Contextualização | |
Autor | 1 Rammig, Anja 2 Lapola, David M. 3 Pinho, Patricia 4 Quesada, Carlos A. N. 5 Brown, Irving F. 6 Kruijt, Bart 7 Premebida, Adriano 8 Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud 9 Marengo, José A. 10 Vergara, Walter 11 Nobre, Carlos A. |
Grupo | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 COCST-COCST-INPE-MCTIC-GOV-BR |
Afiliação | 1 Technical University of Munich 2 Universidade Estadual de Campinas (UNICAMP) 3 University of Edinburgh 4 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas da Amazônia (INPA) 5 Universidade Federal do Acre (UFAC) 6 Wageningen University 7 Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Sul (UFRGS) 8 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 9 Centro Nacional de Monitoramento e Alertas de Desastres Naturais (CEMADEN0 10 World Resources Institute 11 Instituto Nacional de Ciência e Tecnologia para Mudanças Climáticas (INCT) |
Endereço de e-Mail do Autor | 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 jean.ometto@inpe.br |
Nome do Evento | EGU General Assembly |
Localização do Evento | Vienna, Austria |
Data | 8-13 apr. |
Histórico (UTC) | 2018-04-09 13:13:13 :: simone -> administrator :: 2018 2019-02-22 20:42:08 :: administrator -> simone :: 2018 2020-11-26 16:45:47 :: simone -> administrator :: 2018 2020-12-07 21:11:24 :: administrator -> simone :: 2018 |
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3. Conteúdo e estrutura | |
É a matriz ou uma cópia? | é a matriz |
Estágio do Conteúdo | concluido |
Transferível | 1 |
Tipo do Conteúdo | External Contribution |
Resumo | Almost 20 years ago, the Amazon forest-dieback hypothesis has been proposed indicating that a large-scale loss of Amazon rainforest may be caused by climate change which may lead to substantial changes in ecosystem functioning and structure. Here, we revise the likelihood of a potential Amazon forest dieback based on a systematic literature review. We find that still large uncertainties exist about the impacts and drivers of such event. These uncertainties include the effects of increasing temperature and atmospheric CO2 concentration, and long-term drought on forest stability, the role of nutrient cycling and potential phosphorus limitation on forest productivity and potential climate feedbacks, in particular, the potential disruption of local rainfall recycling. We assess, in the light of these uncertainties, scenarios of potential socio-economic impacts that would result from a large-scale Amazon forest dieback. For our assessment, we consider the economic losses arising from changes in the provision of ecosystem services, decreasing crop yields, reduction of hydroelectric power generation potential, reduction of fish stocks and interruption of shipping waterways. Long-term economic losses are estimated between USD $1,367 to $6,928 billion (16%-80% of Gross Brazilian Amazon Product), arising mainly from changes in the provision of non-market value ecosystem services, decreasing crop yields and reduction of hydroelectric power potential. Trade-off gains coming from such a forest dieback would sum less than half of the losses (USD $576 to $2,880 billion). We conclude that, from a risk-analysis perspective, even with a low probability of occurrence, the high socio-economic impacts of an Amazon forest dieback make it, per se, a high-risk process. |
Área | CST |
Arranjo | urlib.net > BDMCI > Fonds > Produção anterior à 2021 > COCST > Estimating the likelihood... |
Conteúdo da Pasta doc | acessar |
Conteúdo da Pasta source | não têm arquivos |
Conteúdo da Pasta agreement | |
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4. Condições de acesso e uso | |
URL dos dados | http://urlib.net/ibi/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3QSBPQ5 |
URL dos dados zipados | http://urlib.net/zip/8JMKD3MGP3W34R/3QSBPQ5 |
Idioma | en |
Arquivo Alvo | ramming_estimating.pdf |
Grupo de Usuários | simone |
Grupo de Leitores | administrator simone |
Visibilidade | shown |
Permissão de Atualização | não transferida |
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5. Fontes relacionadas | |
Unidades Imediatamente Superiores | 8JMKD3MGPCW/3F3T29H |
Lista de Itens Citando | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2013/10.19.20.40 2 |
Acervo Hospedeiro | urlib.net/www/2017/11.22.19.04 |
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6. Notas | |
Campos Vazios | archivingpolicy archivist booktitle callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel dissemination doi e-mailaddress edition editor format isbn issn keywords label lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes numberofvolumes orcid organization pages parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project publisher publisheraddress readpermission resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarymark serieseditor session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype type url versiontype volume |
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7. Controle da descrição | |
e-Mail (login) | simone |
atualizar | |
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